Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.3%
Milton Keynes Dons
24.3%
Draw
27.3%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
1.10
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).