Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.0%
Sporting Gijón
30.0%
Draw
30.0%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Sporting Gijón
vs
0.92
Leganes
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.560.3%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
12.9%
0-1
12.1%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).