Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.8%
Valladolid
18.2%
Draw
69.0%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Valladolid
vs
2.32
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
9.1%
1-1
8.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-3
7.5%
0-4
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
1-4
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
2-1
3.7%
1-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).