Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.8%
Frosinone
20.6%
Draw
12.6%
Cesena
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Frosinone
vs
0.86
Cesena
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
5.6%
4-0
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
4-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).