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AHT: 00CSV

08 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.9%
Kasimpasa
35.2%
Draw
31.9%
Genclerbirligi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Kasimpasa

vs
1.13

Genclerbirligi

Markets

BTTS49.6%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.6%
0-0
13.6%
1-0
8.4%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
3-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).