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DHT: 11CSV

28 Apr 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.1%
Magdeburg
19.9%
Draw
14.0%
Osnabruck

Expected Goals (xG)

2.32

Magdeburg

vs
1.00

Osnabruck

Markets

BTTS57.8%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.542.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
1-1
9.2%
1-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
3-0
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
0-0
4.4%
4-1
4.4%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
3-2
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).