Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.5%
Caen
20.0%
Draw
61.5%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Caen
vs
1.93
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-3
6.4%
1-0
6.1%
0-0
4.8%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).