Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.4%
Clermont
17.0%
Draw
69.6%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Clermont
vs
2.22
Lorient
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.6%
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-1
8.0%
1-3
7.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
0-0
4.0%
1-4
4.0%
2-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).