Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.3%
Queens Park Rangers
22.5%
Draw
40.3%
Virginia Water
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Queens Park Rangers
vs
1.68
Virginia Water
Markets
BTTS64.6%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.541.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
2-2
6.8%
0-1
6.6%
1-0
6.4%
0-2
5.3%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).