Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.4%
Rodez
20.7%
Draw
19.9%
Chateauroux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Rodez
vs
0.96
Chateauroux
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.0%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
4-0
3.0%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).