Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.0%
West Ham
26.1%
Draw
26.9%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
West Ham
vs
1.32
Burnley
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
7.0%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).