Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.5%
Lyon
24.3%
Draw
44.2%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Lyon
vs
1.47
Lens
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
0-1
10.9%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.4%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).