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20 May 2023 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.1%
Ibiza
29.2%
Draw
36.7%
Zaragoza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Ibiza

vs
1.10

Zaragoza

Markets

BTTS43.4%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.9%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
11.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
0-3
2.6%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).