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26 Oct 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.9%
St Truiden
23.9%
Draw
24.2%
Westerlo

Expected Goals (xG)

1.86

St Truiden

vs
1.21

Westerlo

Markets

BTTS59.9%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.0%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.2%
0-1
5.0%
3-0
5.0%
3-2
3.7%
0-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).