Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.3%
Norwich
24.7%
Draw
58.0%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Norwich
vs
1.77
Leeds
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.9%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
7.9%
0-3
6.6%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).