Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.7%
Darmstadt
23.2%
Draw
37.1%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Darmstadt
vs
1.82
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS72.0%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.589.3%
Over 2.571.7%
Over 3.550.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-1
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
3-2
4.6%
2-3
4.4%
2-0
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-0
3.8%
0-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).