Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.5%
Famalicao
29.2%
Draw
19.3%
Moreirense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Famalicao
vs
0.76
Moreirense
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
12.2%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
3.3%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).