Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.0%
Hajduk Split
28.8%
Draw
30.2%
Zagreb
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Hajduk Split
vs
1.21
Zagreb
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).