Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.8%
Cardiff
26.8%
Draw
49.4%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Cardiff
vs
1.61
Norwich
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.0%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
0-3
4.9%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).