Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.2%
Juventus
19.4%
Draw
15.4%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Juventus
vs
0.93
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.1%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
7.0%
2-2
4.6%
0-0
4.5%
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
4.0%
4-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).