Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Salford
21.4%
Draw
31.1%
Bury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Salford
vs
1.53
Bury
Markets
BTTS66.6%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.567.1%
Over 3.545.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.0%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.1%
3-2
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).