Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.8%
Aves
16.7%
Draw
74.5%
Sp Lisbon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
Aves
vs
2.16
Sp Lisbon
Markets
BTTS38.2%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.2%
0-1
14.4%
0-3
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
1-1
7.7%
1-3
6.2%
0-0
6.2%
0-4
5.9%
1-0
4.1%
1-4
3.4%
0-5
2.5%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).