Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.9%
Maidenhead
26.9%
Draw
23.2%
Weymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Maidenhead
vs
1.02
Weymouth
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).