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DHT: 01CSV

06 Mar 2020 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.4%
Chambly
23.9%
Draw
52.7%
Le Mans

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Chambly

vs
1.52

Le Mans

Markets

BTTS45.5%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.5%
1-1
11.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
9.0%
0-0
7.9%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).