Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.1%
Chesterfield
16.6%
Draw
17.3%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
2.99
Chesterfield
vs
1.57
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS75.5%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.594.6%
Over 2.583.3%
Over 3.566.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
7.4%
3-1
7.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-2
5.7%
4-1
5.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-2
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).