Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.7%
Sudtirol
29.0%
Draw
14.4%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Sudtirol
vs
0.60
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS35.8%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.5%
0-0
13.9%
2-0
13.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
2.4%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).