Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.5%
Crawley Town
26.2%
Draw
55.3%
Leyton Orient
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Crawley Town
vs
1.43
Leyton Orient
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.6%
0-2
12.3%
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11.4%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
4.1%
1-3
4.0%
2-2
2.9%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).