Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.9%
La Coruna
28.3%
Draw
39.7%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
La Coruna
vs
1.20
Elche
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
12.8%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
10.4%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).