Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.1%
Northampton
27.3%
Draw
38.7%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Northampton
vs
1.12
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
1-0
13.1%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.5%
1-2
7.5%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).