Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.8%
Cremonese
24.5%
Draw
24.6%
Catanzaro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Cremonese
vs
1.26
Catanzaro
Markets
BTTS61.8%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.538.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.6%
1-0
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
5.3%
3-0
4.8%
0-1
4.4%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).