Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.5%
Maidenhead
28.4%
Draw
34.1%
Dag and Red
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Maidenhead
vs
1.27
Dag and Red
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).