Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.1%
Oviedo
25.9%
Draw
60.0%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
Oviedo
vs
1.54
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS35.7%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.9%
0-2
14.0%
0-0
12.0%
1-1
11.1%
1-2
8.4%
0-3
7.2%
1-0
6.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-1
3.3%
0-4
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
2-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).