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02 Dec 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.5%
Motor Lublin
25.7%
Draw
33.7%
Radomiak Radom

Expected Goals (xG)

1.62

Motor Lublin

vs
1.46

Radomiak Radom

Markets

BTTS62.5%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.0%
0-1
5.8%
0-0
5.5%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).