Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.8%
Bayern Munich
10.3%
Draw
6.9%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
3.71
Bayern Munich
vs
1.15
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS66.8%
Over 0.599.0%
Over 1.595.7%
Over 2.586.3%
Over 3.571.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.6%
4-1
7.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-0
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.4%
5-1
5.2%
5-0
4.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-2
4.0%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).