Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.7%
Frosinone
19.7%
Draw
11.6%
Mantova
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Frosinone
vs
0.85
Mantova
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
7.3%
0-0
5.2%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).