Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.6%
Lens
26.5%
Draw
44.8%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Lens
vs
1.26
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.1%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
10.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).