Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.7%
Salford
26.7%
Draw
36.6%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Salford
vs
1.19
Colchester
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.6%
0-1
11.6%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).