Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.3%
Lille
19.1%
Draw
12.5%
Clermont
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Lille
vs
0.68
Clermont
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
2-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
9.0%
1-1
8.9%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
5.3%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).