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09 Feb 2025 · 16:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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83.4%
Strasbourg
11.7%
Draw
4.9%
Montpellier

Expected Goals (xG)

2.66

Strasbourg

vs
0.49

Montpellier

Markets

BTTS36.1%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.1%
3-0
13.4%
1-0
11.5%
4-0
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
1-1
5.5%
5-0
4.7%
4-1
4.4%
0-0
4.1%
5-1
2.3%
0-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).