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DHT: 00CSV

06 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.4%
Kortrijk
25.8%
Draw
41.8%
Westerlo

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Kortrijk

vs
1.57

Westerlo

Markets

BTTS59.6%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
7.7%
0-2
6.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).