Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.5%
Peterboro
21.4%
Draw
35.1%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Peterboro
vs
1.53
Oxford
Markets
BTTS63.4%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.9%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).