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26 Dec 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.2%
Westerlo
18.6%
Draw
14.2%
RWD Molenbeek

Expected Goals (xG)

2.43

Westerlo

vs
1.05

RWD Molenbeek

Markets

BTTS59.8%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.567.6%
Over 3.546.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
7.7%
3-0
7.3%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
5.0%
4-1
4.7%
4-0
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
3-2
4.1%
0-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).