Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.3%
Luton
25.1%
Draw
21.6%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Luton
vs
0.78
Wigan
Markets
BTTS40.1%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-0
11.2%
0-0
10.0%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).