Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.8%
Oviedo
19.1%
Draw
72.1%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57
Oviedo
vs
2.06
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS38.4%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.2%
0-1
14.5%
0-3
10.5%
1-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
7.5%
1-3
6.0%
0-4
5.4%
1-0
3.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-2
2.5%
2-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).