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HCSV

30 Apr 2023 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.5%
Kayserispor
32.7%
Draw
35.8%
Gaziantep

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Kayserispor

vs
1.35

Gaziantep

Markets

BTTS56.0%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.7%
0-0
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
6.9%
0-2
6.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).