Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.7%
Union Berlin
22.7%
Draw
25.6%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Union Berlin
vs
1.40
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS66.4%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.567.0%
Over 3.545.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
1-0
5.8%
3-0
4.5%
3-2
4.5%
0-0
3.9%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).