Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.4%
Portsmouth
24.1%
Draw
31.4%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Portsmouth
vs
1.15
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.9%
1-1
11.4%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).