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14 Feb 2026 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.9%
Trabzonspor
24.2%
Draw
42.9%
Fenerbahce

Expected Goals (xG)

1.87

Trabzonspor

vs
2.14

Fenerbahce

Markets

BTTS76.5%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.592.7%
Over 2.576.3%
Over 3.556.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-3
5.2%
3-2
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
0-0
3.6%
3-3
3.2%
2-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).