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AHT: 02CSV

14 Feb 2026 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.6%
Cesena
22.9%
Draw
61.5%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Cesena

vs
2.00

Venezia

Markets

BTTS53.0%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-3
6.6%
0-0
6.4%
2-1
4.6%
2-2
4.6%
1-0
4.0%
0-4
3.6%
1-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).