Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.0%
Sp Braga
31.1%
Draw
40.9%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Sp Braga
vs
1.21
Porto
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-1
12.9%
0-0
12.5%
1-0
9.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).